Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Berglund wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Gaustad shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Berglund 49.0% vs Gaustad 55.9% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Berglund 87.1%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 82.6%
Neutral zone
Gaustad 52.2%
Result
Patrik Berglund favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Berglund
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Berglund
Gaustad
Last 5: Berglund 2-3 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Berglund
2
0
Berglund
Gaustad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
2
Berglund
Gaustad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
1
Berglund
Gaustad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Berglund
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (301)
57.7% (821)
-9.2%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
56.3% (16)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (14)
52.3% (260)
-2.3%
On even strength, Gaustad has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Berglund is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (188).
Berglund shoots left. Gaustad is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (699).
Home / Away
Berglund
Gaustad
Home
53.3% (180)
58.9% (577)
Away
43.0% (149)
53.7% (520)
By Period
Berglund
Gaustad
P1
52.3%
53.1%
P2
46.8%
57.9%
P3
46.7%
57.8%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
53.7%
60.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
48.6%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
56.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2014 | 3 | 14:14 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 3 | 00:49 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 2 | 07:20 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 1 | 10:52 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 1 | 10:45 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |