Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Berglund wins 44.2% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Berglund 46.8% vs Stastny 52.1% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 11-4 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Berglund 72.9%
Defensive zone
Berglund 77.6%
Neutral zone
Berglund 69.5%
Result
Patrik Berglund favored at 73.6%
73.6%
26.4%
Berglund
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
11
(15 meetings)
4
11
Berglund
Stastny
Last 10: Berglund 4-6 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
3
Berglund
Stastny
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
5
Berglund
Stastny
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
2
3
Berglund
Stastny
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Berglund
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (490)
51.0% (588)
-4.7%
Power Play
52.4% (63)
60.6% (104)
-8.2%
Penalty Kill
38.0% (50)
51.7% (89)
-13.7%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Berglund is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (428).
Berglund shoots left. Stastny is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (542).
Home / Away
Berglund
Stastny
Home
49.8% (295)
54.0% (400)
Away
42.9% (308)
50.7% (381)
By Period
Berglund
Stastny
P1
47.5%
57.8%
P2
46.4%
52.5%
P3
45.7%
47.5%
OT
20.0%
41.7%
Final 5 min
53.6%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
46.3%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2013 | 3 | 06:23 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 23, 2013 | 2 | 13:50 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 23, 2013 | 2 | 07:31 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Apr 23, 2013 | 2 | 07:20 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 23, 2013 | 2 | 02:46 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 23, 2013 | 1 | 19:11 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Apr 23, 2013 | 1 | 19:00 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 21, 2013 | 3 | 17:33 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Apr 21, 2013 | 2 | 02:33 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 21, 2013 | 1 | 11:48 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Apr 21, 2013 | 1 | 08:16 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 21, 2013 | 1 | 01:26 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 20, 2013 | 3 | 08:11 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 20, 2013 | 2 | 13:16 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 20, 2013 | 1 | 14:37 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |