Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Berglund wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Berglund 47.9% vs Stastny 53.8% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Berglund 71.6%
Defensive zone
Berglund 71.5%
Neutral zone
Berglund 72.5%
Result
Patrik Berglund favored at 72.3%
72.3%
27.7%
Berglund
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Berglund
Stastny
Last 5: Berglund 0-5 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Berglund
Stastny
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
4
Berglund
Stastny
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Berglund
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (641)
53.2% (995)
-5.5%
Power Play
59.7% (67)
57.6% (158)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
36.0% (75)
61.4% (57)
-25.4%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +25.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Berglund is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (494).
Berglund shoots left. Stastny is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (738).
Home / Away
Berglund
Stastny
Home
50.2% (422)
55.1% (586)
Away
44.6% (361)
53.2% (624)
By Period
Berglund
Stastny
P1
43.8%
54.7%
P2
46.3%
53.1%
P3
53.1%
54.2%
OT
42.9%
60.0%
Final 5 min
47.0%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
47.6%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2013 | 3 | 02:11 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 14, 2013 | 3 | 00:20 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 14, 2013 | 2 | 18:01 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 14, 2013 | 2 | 11:43 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 14, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |