Scouting Report
Patrik Berglund holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Holland on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Berglund wins 44.2% vs left-shot opponents — Holland shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Berglund 46.8% vs Holland 45.9% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Holland 56.4%
Defensive zone
Holland 54.9%
Neutral zone
Holland 53.3%
Result
Peter Holland favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Berglund
Holland
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Berglund
Holland
Last 5: Berglund 2-3 Holland
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Berglund
1
0
Berglund
Holland
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Holland
0
1
Berglund
Holland
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Holland
1
2
Berglund
Holland
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Berglund
Holland
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (490)
43.4% (196)
+2.9%
Power Play
52.4% (63)
57.1% (7)
-4.7%
On power play, Holland has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Holland shoots left. Berglund is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (428).
Berglund shoots left. Holland is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (150).
Home / Away
Berglund
Holland
Home
49.8% (295)
49.2% (130)
Away
42.9% (308)
34.2% (73)
By Period
Berglund
Holland
P1
47.5%
48.1%
P2
46.4%
39.3%
P3
45.7%
42.6%
Final 5 min
53.6%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
46.3%
Holland
38.0%▼
48.0%
43.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2013 | 3 | 03:10 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 1 | 08:24 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Mar 10, 2013 | 3 | 19:40 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Mar 10, 2013 | 3 | 19:20 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Mar 10, 2013 | 2 | 06:26 | Defensive | Peter Holland |