Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.5% vs 49.0%). Look for Berglund on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Berglund 48.7% vs Umberger 49.3% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Umberger 66.3%
Defensive zone
Berglund 77.8%
Neutral zone
Berglund 60.7%
Result
Patrik Berglund favored at 59.1%
59.1%
40.9%
Berglund
Umberger
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Berglund
Umberger
Last 8: Berglund 5-3 Umberger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Berglund
3
0
Berglund
Umberger
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Umberger
1
3
Berglund
Umberger
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Berglund
1
0
Berglund
Umberger
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Berglund
Umberger
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (895)
50.6% (164)
-2.3%
Power Play
50.4% (141)
49.1% (114)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (120)
40.0% (25)
+8.3%
On penalty kill, Berglund has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Umberger shoots left. Berglund is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (782).
Berglund shoots left. Umberger is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (204).
Home / Away
Berglund
Umberger
Home
50.9% (593)
48.8% (166)
Away
46.1% (575)
49.3% (140)
By Period
Berglund
Umberger
P1
50.9%
43.7%
P2
45.3%
52.6%
P3
50.8%
51.4%
OT
39.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
48.5%
Umberger
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2012 | 3 | 12:30 | Defensive | R.J. Umberger |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 3 | 03:12 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 3 | 00:21 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 2 | 16:56 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 2 | 16:54 | Defensive | R.J. Umberger |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 2 | 06:57 | Defensive | R.J. Umberger |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 2 | 04:49 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 1 | 15:09 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |