Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Berglund wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Berglund 53.9% vs O'Reilly 59.5% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Berglund 52.3%
Defensive zone
Berglund 55.0%
Neutral zone
Berglund 57.6%
Result
Patrik Berglund favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Berglund
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Berglund
O'Reilly
Last 7: Berglund 3-4 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
2
Berglund
O'Reilly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
2
Berglund
O'Reilly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Berglund
1
0
Berglund
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Berglund
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (270)
60.3% (1,517)
-5.1%
Power Play
65.0% (20)
61.5% (387)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (24)
55.0% (220)
-9.2%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Berglund is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (188).
Berglund shoots left. O'Reilly is 60.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,411).
Home / Away
Berglund
O'Reilly
Home
61.2% (139)
62.5% (1,143)
Away
50.3% (175)
57.1% (981)
By Period
Berglund
O'Reilly
P1
57.1%
56.8%
P2
60.2%
64.6%
P3
48.0%
58.5%
OT
33.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
61.4%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
55.1%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
60.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2018 | 3 | 08:17 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 3 | 05:44 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 10, 2017 | OT | 01:06 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 10, 2017 | 3 | 18:39 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Dec 10, 2017 | 2 | 16:54 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 10, 2017 | 1 | 12:26 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Dec 10, 2017 | 1 | 09:15 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |