Scouting Report
Patrik Berglund holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Gagner on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 15 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Berglund 48.7% vs Gagner 46.0% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Gagner leads 23-17 in 40 meetings
Offensive zone
Gagner 74.2%
Defensive zone
Gagner 58.1%
Neutral zone
Gagner 60.4%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 65.1%
34.9%
65.1%
Berglund
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
23
(40 meetings)
17
23
Berglund
Gagner
Last 10: Berglund 3-7 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
5
10
Berglund
Gagner
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
4
5
Berglund
Gagner
9 total
Neutral Zone
Even
8
8
Berglund
Gagner
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Berglund
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (4,697)
45.4% (4,699)
+3.6%
Power Play
51.3% (548)
51.5% (928)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (461)
35.0% (226)
+8.2%
On penalty kill, Berglund has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Berglund is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,046).
Berglund shoots left. Gagner is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,184).
Home / Away
Berglund
Gagner
Home
50.9% (2,829)
48.7% (3,025)
Away
46.6% (2,904)
43.0% (2,843)
By Period
Berglund
Gagner
P1
49.3%
44.6%
P2
48.2%
46.1%
P3
49.0%
47.3%
OT
39.7%
42.0%
Final 5 min
50.2%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
48.7%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2017 | 1 | 03:23 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 3 | 03:04 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 3 | 00:55 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 2 | 15:13 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 2 | 12:54 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 1 | 19:00 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 1 | 09:51 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 3 | 14:50 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 1 | 12:53 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 2 | 05:54 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 3 | 11:09 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 3 | 08:19 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 3 | 00:34 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 2 | 08:39 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 1, 2013 | 3 | 00:10 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Mar 1, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 1, 2013 | 2 | 19:06 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Mar 1, 2013 | 2 | 00:25 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Feb 29, 2012 | 3 | 17:21 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |