Scouting Report
Patrik Berglund holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Gagner on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Berglund 46.8% vs Gagner 44.6% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Gagner leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Gagner 60.9%
Defensive zone
Gagner 56.6%
Neutral zone
Gagner 59.6%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 59.7%
40.3%
59.7%
Berglund
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Berglund
Gagner
Last 10: Berglund 4-6 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
1
2
Berglund
Gagner
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Berglund
1
0
Berglund
Gagner
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gagner
2
4
Berglund
Gagner
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Berglund
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (490)
42.1% (575)
+4.2%
Power Play
52.4% (63)
55.3% (123)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
38.0% (50)
34.9% (43)
+3.1%
On even strength, Berglund has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Berglund is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (175).
Berglund shoots left. Gagner is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (555).
Home / Away
Berglund
Gagner
Home
49.8% (295)
45.6% (375)
Away
42.9% (308)
42.1% (366)
By Period
Berglund
Gagner
P1
47.5%
40.1%
P2
46.4%
42.2%
P3
45.7%
48.2%
OT
20.0%
56.3%
Final 5 min
53.6%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
46.3%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
43.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2013 | 2 | 05:54 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 3 | 11:09 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 3 | 08:19 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 3 | 00:34 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 2 | 08:39 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 1, 2013 | 3 | 00:10 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Mar 1, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 1, 2013 | 2 | 19:06 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Mar 1, 2013 | 2 | 00:25 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |