Scouting Report
Patrik Berglund holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Berglund on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Berglund wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Berglund 49.0% vs Gagner 47.2% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gagner 80.7%
Defensive zone
Berglund 58.3%
Neutral zone
Gagner 62.1%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 58.4%
41.6%
58.4%
Berglund
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Berglund
Gagner
Last 6: Berglund 2-4 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
1
Berglund
Gagner
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
2
Berglund
Gagner
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Berglund
2
1
Berglund
Gagner
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Berglund
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (301)
45.6% (651)
+2.9%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
53.8% (119)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (14)
0.0% (1)
+50.0%
On penalty kill, Berglund has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Berglund is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (141).
Berglund shoots left. Gagner is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (488).
Home / Away
Berglund
Gagner
Home
53.3% (180)
47.1% (367)
Away
43.0% (149)
46.5% (404)
By Period
Berglund
Gagner
P1
52.3%
49.6%
P2
46.8%
47.9%
P3
46.7%
43.4%
OT
50.0%
43.8%
Final 5 min
53.7%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
48.6%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2014 | 3 | 03:04 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 3 | 00:55 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 2 | 15:13 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 2 | 12:54 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 1 | 19:00 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 1 | 09:51 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |