Scouting Report
Travis Zajac holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Berglund on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Berglund wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Berglund 49.0% vs Zajac 53.2% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zajac 51.9%
Defensive zone
Zajac 67.9%
Neutral zone
Zajac 66.3%
Result
Travis Zajac favored at 65.6%
34.4%
65.6%
Berglund
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Berglund
Zajac
Last 9: Berglund 5-4 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Berglund
1
0
Berglund
Zajac
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Berglund
4
1
Berglund
Zajac
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zajac
0
3
Berglund
Zajac
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Berglund
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (301)
53.6% (932)
-5.1%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
55.0% (129)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (14)
50.4% (139)
-0.4%
On even strength, Zajac has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Berglund is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (141).
Berglund shoots left. Zajac is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (786).
Home / Away
Berglund
Zajac
Home
53.3% (180)
55.8% (661)
Away
43.0% (149)
50.5% (539)
By Period
Berglund
Zajac
P1
52.3%
55.7%
P2
46.8%
50.0%
P3
46.7%
54.1%
OT
50.0%
63.6%
Final 5 min
53.7%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
48.6%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2014 | 3 | 07:10 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Nov 6, 2014 | 2 | 10:01 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Nov 6, 2014 | 2 | 09:48 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Nov 6, 2014 | 1 | 18:23 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Nov 6, 2014 | 1 | 00:24 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 3 | 04:55 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 2 | 03:20 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 2 | 01:01 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 1 | 02:08 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |