Scouting Report
Patrik Berglund holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Berglund on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Berglund wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Berglund 47.9% vs Smith 46.1% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Berglund 61.9%
Defensive zone
Berglund 56.3%
Neutral zone
Berglund 62.2%
Result
Patrik Berglund favored at 60.9%
60.9%
39.1%
Berglund
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Berglund
Smith
Last 5: Berglund 3-2 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Berglund
1
0
Berglund
Smith
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
1
Berglund
Smith
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Berglund
2
1
Berglund
Smith
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Berglund
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (641)
44.7% (244)
+3.0%
Power Play
59.7% (67)
33.3% (6)
+26.4%
Penalty Kill
36.0% (75)
50.0% (8)
-14.0%
On power play, Berglund has a +26.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Berglund is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (494).
Berglund shoots left. Smith is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (138).
Home / Away
Berglund
Smith
Home
50.2% (422)
51.3% (158)
Away
44.6% (361)
34.0% (100)
By Period
Berglund
Smith
P1
43.8%
37.2%
P2
46.3%
53.9%
P3
53.1%
40.8%
OT
42.9%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.0%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
47.6%
Smith
46.0%▼
52.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2013 | 3 | 07:04 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Dec 12, 2013 | 2 | 12:44 | Neutral | Trevor Smith |
| Dec 12, 2013 | 2 | 00:29 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Dec 12, 2013 | 1 | 08:26 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Dec 12, 2013 | 1 | 08:23 | Defensive | Trevor Smith |