Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on defensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Berglund 48.7% vs Bozak 53.4% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 20-14 in 34 meetings
Offensive zone
Berglund 73.7%
Defensive zone
Berglund 64.3%
Neutral zone
Berglund 64.3%
Result
Patrik Berglund favored at 67.9%
67.9%
32.1%
Berglund
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
20
(34 meetings)
14
20
Berglund
Bozak
Last 10: Berglund 5-5 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
5
8
Berglund
Bozak
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
3
7
Berglund
Bozak
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Berglund
6
5
Berglund
Bozak
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Berglund
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (4,697)
53.7% (9,596)
-4.7%
Power Play
51.3% (548)
55.2% (1,990)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (461)
48.0% (1,094)
-4.8%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Berglund is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,046).
Berglund shoots left. Bozak is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (8,417).
Home / Away
Berglund
Bozak
Home
50.9% (2,829)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
46.6% (2,904)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Berglund
Bozak
P1
49.3%
53.2%
P2
48.2%
52.8%
P3
49.0%
54.5%
OT
39.7%
52.9%
Final 5 min
50.2%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
48.7%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2018 | 3 | 07:37 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 16, 2018 | 3 | 01:04 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Jan 16, 2018 | 2 | 02:10 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 3 | 18:07 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 3 | 16:06 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 3 | 08:03 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 2 | 13:43 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 2 | 10:40 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 2 | 10:34 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 2 | 10:29 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 2 | 03:25 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 2 | 00:37 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 2, 2017 | 3 | 19:20 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Feb 2, 2017 | 2 | 16:31 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 2, 2017 | 2 | 01:03 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 2, 2017 | 1 | 16:15 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 2, 2017 | 1 | 14:12 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 2, 2017 | 1 | 03:57 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Feb 2, 2017 | 1 | 01:36 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 10, 2011 | 3 | 12:20 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |