Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Berglund 48.7% vs Bozak 52.5% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Berglund 52.7%
Defensive zone
Berglund 56.7%
Neutral zone
Berglund 56.6%
Result
Patrik Berglund favored at 56.0%
56.0%
44.0%
Berglund
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Berglund
Bozak
Last 6: Berglund 1-5 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Berglund
1
0
Berglund
Bozak
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
4
Berglund
Bozak
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
1
Berglund
Bozak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Berglund
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (895)
51.7% (913)
-3.4%
Power Play
50.4% (141)
55.9% (211)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (120)
54.9% (51)
-6.6%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Berglund is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (386).
Berglund shoots left. Bozak is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (811).
Home / Away
Berglund
Bozak
Home
50.9% (593)
52.8% (615)
Away
46.1% (575)
52.5% (583)
By Period
Berglund
Bozak
P1
50.9%
52.5%
P2
45.3%
51.1%
P3
50.8%
55.2%
OT
39.1%
40.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
56.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
48.5%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2011 | 3 | 12:20 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 10, 2011 | 2 | 13:18 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 10, 2011 | 2 | 13:08 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Nov 10, 2011 | 2 | 04:39 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 10, 2011 | 2 | 04:21 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 10, 2011 | 2 | 01:29 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |