Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Berglund on offensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Berglund 50.0% vs Seguin 50.9% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Berglund leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Berglund 52.8%
Defensive zone
Berglund 64.3%
Neutral zone
Berglund 61.2%
Result
Patrik Berglund favored at 56.4%
56.4%
43.6%
Berglund
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Berglund
Seguin
Last 10: Berglund 7-3 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Berglund
4
3
Berglund
Seguin
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Berglund
2
0
Berglund
Seguin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Berglund
2
0
Berglund
Seguin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Berglund
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (982)
51.1% (720)
-0.6%
Power Play
55.7% (79)
54.2% (59)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
40.7% (108)
14.3% (7)
+26.4%
On penalty kill, Berglund has a +26.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Berglund is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (470).
Berglund shoots left. Seguin is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (579).
Home / Away
Berglund
Seguin
Home
50.7% (548)
52.0% (421)
Away
49.3% (621)
49.9% (365)
By Period
Berglund
Seguin
P1
49.6%
50.8%
P2
50.5%
51.3%
P3
49.6%
51.0%
OT
60.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.5%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
50.0%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2017 | 3 | 12:14 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 3 | 17:51 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 3 | 07:25 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 3 | 00:47 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 2 | 00:55 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 1 | 19:17 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 1 | 12:44 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 3 | 15:21 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 3 | 01:33 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 1 | 12:54 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 1 | 12:37 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |