Scouting Report
Patrik Berglund holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Berglund on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Berglund 48.7% vs Jost 40.5% (+8.6%)
H2H factor
Berglund leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Berglund 87.9%
Defensive zone
Berglund 77.1%
Neutral zone
Berglund 80.4%
Result
Patrik Berglund favored at 81.8%
81.8%
18.2%
Berglund
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
5
(13 meetings)
8
5
Berglund
Jost
Last 10: Berglund 7-3 Jost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jost
2
3
Berglund
Jost
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Berglund
5
1
Berglund
Jost
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Berglund
Jost
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Berglund
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (4,697)
41.0% (2,014)
+8.0%
Power Play
51.3% (548)
34.2% (73)
+17.1%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (461)
35.3% (255)
+7.9%
On power play, Berglund has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Berglund is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,687).
Berglund shoots left. Jost is 40.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,466).
Home / Away
Berglund
Jost
Home
50.9% (2,829)
41.9% (1,238)
Away
46.6% (2,904)
38.1% (1,104)
By Period
Berglund
Jost
P1
49.3%
38.5%
P2
48.2%
41.2%
P3
49.0%
40.9%
OT
39.7%
40.0%
Final 5 min
50.2%
38.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
48.7%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
40.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2018 | 3 | 10:18 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 2 | 01:48 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 1 | 01:17 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 1 | 01:07 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 1 | 01:24 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 1 | 11:18 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 1 | 06:49 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 1 | 04:05 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |
| Mar 31, 2017 | 2 | 07:07 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |
| Mar 31, 2017 | 2 | 06:55 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Mar 31, 2017 | 2 | 04:42 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Mar 31, 2017 | 1 | 18:34 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| Mar 31, 2017 | 1 | 08:29 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |