Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 50.7% vs Elias 42.7% (+8.2%)
H2H factor
Backes leads 14-8 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Backes 80.8%
Defensive zone
Backes 91.3%
Neutral zone
Backes 90.7%
Result
David Backes favored at 87.3%
87.3%
12.7%
Backes
Elias
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
8
(22 meetings)
14
8
Backes
Elias
Last 10: Backes 8-2 Elias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Elias
2
6
Backes
Elias
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
8
0
Backes
Elias
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
4
2
Backes
Elias
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Elias
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,772)
42.3% (2,591)
+8.8%
Power Play
50.8% (1,082)
48.4% (405)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (930)
36.0% (367)
+11.4%
On penalty kill, Backes has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Elias shoots left. Backes is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,704).
Backes shoots right. Elias is 41.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,179).
Home / Away
Backes
Elias
Home
50.6% (3,936)
43.2% (1,683)
Away
50.7% (3,895)
41.7% (1,725)
By Period
Backes
Elias
P1
50.1%
41.1%
P2
51.5%
43.1%
P3
50.8%
43.0%
OT
42.9%
43.2%
Final 5 min
51.9%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.7%
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
42.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2014 | 2 | 13:56 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Nov 6, 2014 | 2 | 03:24 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 3 | 19:55 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 3 | 19:11 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 2 | 10:29 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 2 | 04:16 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 2 | 04:11 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 1 | 18:49 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Jan 28, 2014 | 3 | 10:38 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Jan 28, 2014 | 3 | 01:21 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Jan 28, 2014 | 2 | 14:28 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Jan 28, 2014 | 2 | 09:22 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Jan 28, 2014 | 1 | 00:09 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Jan 21, 2014 | 2 | 19:31 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Jan 21, 2014 | 2 | 14:55 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Jan 21, 2014 | 2 | 09:39 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Jan 21, 2014 | 2 | 09:33 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Jan 21, 2014 | 1 | 15:28 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Jan 21, 2014 | 1 | 08:17 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |