Scouting Report
David Desharnais holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Desharnais on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Desharnais 49.5% vs Elias 44.5% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Desharnais leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Desharnais 88.9%
Defensive zone
Desharnais 66.5%
Neutral zone
Desharnais 80.1%
Result
David Desharnais favored at 83.0%
83.0%
17.0%
Desharnais
Elias
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Desharnais
Elias
Last 10: Desharnais 8-2 Elias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Desharnais
3
1
Desharnais
Elias
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Desharnais
5
3
Desharnais
Elias
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Desharnais
Elias
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (1,022)
44.7% (954)
+2.8%
Power Play
57.5% (273)
46.9% (196)
+10.6%
Penalty Kill
53.5% (43)
36.1% (180)
+17.4%
On penalty kill, Desharnais has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Elias shoots left. Desharnais is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (902).
Desharnais shoots left. Elias is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (882).
Home / Away
Desharnais
Elias
Home
49.8% (701)
46.0% (692)
Away
49.1% (670)
42.2% (677)
By Period
Desharnais
Elias
P1
48.8%
40.7%
P2
53.2%
46.8%
P3
46.0%
44.0%
OT
47.1%
53.3%
Final 5 min
49.4%
41.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Desharnais
56.0%▲
54.5%
49.5%
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2012 | 3 | 07:03 | Neutral | David Desharnais |
| Feb 19, 2012 | 1 | 15:17 | Neutral | David Desharnais |
| Feb 19, 2012 | 1 | 02:06 | Offensive | David Desharnais |
| Feb 2, 2012 | 3 | 13:35 | Offensive | David Desharnais |
| Feb 2, 2012 | 3 | 09:22 | Offensive | David Desharnais |
| Feb 2, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Feb 2, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Desharnais |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 2 | 02:21 | Neutral | David Desharnais |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 1 | 07:40 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Dec 10, 2011 | 3 | 13:34 | Neutral | David Desharnais |
| Dec 10, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Dec 10, 2011 | 2 | 18:41 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |