Scouting Report
Derek Roy holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Roy wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Elias shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.4% vs Elias 42.7% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Roy leads 13-8 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Roy 86.1%
Defensive zone
Roy 74.3%
Neutral zone
Roy 77.4%
Result
Derek Roy favored at 80.2%
80.2%
19.8%
Roy
Elias
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
8
(21 meetings)
13
8
Roy
Elias
Last 10: Roy 4-6 Elias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
7
1
Roy
Elias
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
2
1
Roy
Elias
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Elias
4
6
Roy
Elias
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Elias
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (3,031)
42.3% (2,591)
+4.1%
Power Play
53.6% (560)
48.4% (405)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (267)
36.0% (367)
+10.8%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Elias shoots left. Roy is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,462).
Roy shoots left. Elias is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,229).
Home / Away
Roy
Elias
Home
49.5% (1,982)
43.2% (1,683)
Away
45.1% (1,897)
41.7% (1,725)
By Period
Roy
Elias
P1
47.6%
41.1%
P2
46.2%
43.1%
P3
48.5%
43.0%
OT
43.1%
43.2%
Final 5 min
47.0%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
47.4%
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
42.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2015 | 3 | 07:40 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Jan 21, 2014 | 3 | 02:09 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Jan 21, 2014 | 2 | 16:11 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Jan 21, 2014 | 1 | 04:20 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 2 | 18:08 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Jan 24, 2012 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Jan 24, 2012 | 2 | 00:10 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Jan 24, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Jan 24, 2012 | 1 | 17:45 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Jan 24, 2012 | 1 | 15:34 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Jan 24, 2012 | 1 | 12:32 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Jan 24, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Dec 28, 2011 | 2 | 07:41 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Dec 28, 2011 | 1 | 18:11 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Dec 28, 2011 | 1 | 02:44 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Nov 16, 2011 | 3 | 08:24 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Nov 16, 2011 | 3 | 04:39 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Nov 16, 2011 | 1 | 18:22 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Nov 16, 2011 | 1 | 16:01 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Nov 16, 2011 | 1 | 13:13 | Offensive | Derek Roy |