Scouting Report
Patrik Elias holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Caggiula wins 37.1% vs left-shot opponents — Elias shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Caggiula 40.0% vs Elias 42.7% (-5.0%)
Offensive zone
Caggiula 52.5%
Defensive zone
Elias 59.4%
Neutral zone
Elias 51.8%
Result
Patrik Elias favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Caggiula
Elias
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Caggiula
Elias
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (390)
42.3% (2,591)
-4.4%
Power Play
41.7% (12)
48.4% (405)
-6.7%
Penalty Kill
18.2% (11)
36.0% (367)
-17.8%
On penalty kill, Elias has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Elias shoots left. Caggiula is 37.1% vs left-shot opponents (248).
Caggiula shoots left. Elias is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,229).
Home / Away
Caggiula
Elias
Home
41.9% (217)
43.2% (1,683)
Away
32.7% (196)
41.7% (1,725)
By Period
Caggiula
Elias
P1
37.7%
41.1%
P2
37.7%
43.1%
P3
37.3%
43.0%
OT
0.0%
43.2%
Final 5 min
40.4%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Caggiula
38.0%▲
36.5%
37.5%
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
42.5%