Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 49.0% vs Elias 42.0% (+8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 85.8%
Defensive zone
Malkin 75.7%
Neutral zone
Malkin 88.1%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 84.7%
84.7%
15.3%
Malkin
Elias
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Malkin
Elias
Last 5: Malkin 5-0 Elias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
2
0
Malkin
Elias
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
Elias
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
2
0
Malkin
Elias
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Elias
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (612)
40.2% (562)
+8.0%
Power Play
80.0% (5)
49.3% (71)
+30.7%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (4)
34.1% (44)
+65.9%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +65.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Elias shoots left. Malkin is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (375).
Malkin shoots left. Elias is 42.7% vs left-shot opponents (436).
Home / Away
Malkin
Elias
Home
53.4% (305)
39.9% (318)
Away
44.3% (316)
41.5% (359)
By Period
Malkin
Elias
P1
45.6%
42.0%
P2
46.6%
38.6%
P3
54.7%
41.1%
OT
50.0%
45.2%
Final 5 min
46.3%
40.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
48.8%
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
40.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2013 | 3 | 04:48 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 13, 2013 | 1 | 00:41 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 3, 2013 | 3 | 16:15 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 3, 2013 | 2 | 18:14 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 3, 2013 | 1 | 06:38 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |