Scouting Report
Johan Larsson holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Elias on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Larsson wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Elias shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 48.1% vs Elias 42.0% (+6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Elias 76.4%
Defensive zone
Elias 69.3%
Neutral zone
Elias 71.5%
Result
Patrik Elias favored at 70.6%
29.4%
70.6%
Larsson
Elias
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Larsson
Elias
Last 5: Larsson 1-4 Elias
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Larsson
Elias
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Elias
0
3
Larsson
Elias
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Elias
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (258)
40.2% (562)
+8.2%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
49.3% (71)
-20.7%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (20)
34.1% (44)
+5.9%
On power play, Elias has a +20.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Elias shoots left. Larsson is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (165).
Larsson shoots left. Elias is 42.7% vs left-shot opponents (436).
Home / Away
Larsson
Elias
Home
46.8% (154)
39.9% (318)
Away
48.1% (131)
41.5% (359)
By Period
Larsson
Elias
P1
50.5%
42.0%
P2
48.5%
38.6%
P3
43.2%
41.1%
Final 5 min
56.5%
40.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
47.4%
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
40.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2014 | 3 | 18:39 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Apr 1, 2014 | 3 | 06:58 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Apr 1, 2014 | 3 | 04:41 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Apr 1, 2014 | 2 | 18:18 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Apr 1, 2014 | 2 | 14:43 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |