Scouting Report
Jussi Jokinen holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Elias on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Jokinen wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Elias shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jokinen 54.6% vs Elias 44.5% (+11.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Elias 68.5%
Defensive zone
Elias 68.2%
Neutral zone
Elias 67.1%
Result
Patrik Elias favored at 68.2%
31.8%
68.2%
Jokinen
Elias
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Jokinen
Elias
Last 6: Jokinen 2-4 Elias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Elias
1
3
Jokinen
Elias
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Elias
0
1
Jokinen
Elias
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jokinen
1
0
Jokinen
Elias
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jokinen
Elias
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (661)
44.7% (954)
+10.2%
Power Play
55.6% (99)
46.9% (196)
+8.7%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (65)
36.1% (180)
+23.9%
On penalty kill, Jokinen has a +23.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Elias shoots left. Jokinen is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (552).
Jokinen shoots left. Elias is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (882).
Home / Away
Jokinen
Elias
Home
58.0% (414)
46.0% (692)
Away
52.4% (418)
42.2% (677)
By Period
Jokinen
Elias
P1
52.8%
40.7%
P2
53.9%
46.8%
P3
57.5%
44.0%
OT
84.6%
53.3%
Final 5 min
58.5%
41.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jokinen
44.0%▼
56.0%
55.2%
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2012 | 2 | 17:28 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 2 | 09:02 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 2 | 04:42 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 1 | 11:13 | Neutral | Jussi Jokinen |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 1 | 09:38 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 1 | 03:23 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |