Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Elias on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Eller wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Elias shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 52.9% vs Elias 42.0% (+12.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Elias 71.7%
Defensive zone
Elias 70.2%
Neutral zone
Elias 77.6%
Result
Patrik Elias favored at 74.5%
25.5%
74.5%
Eller
Elias
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Eller
Elias
Last 8: Eller 2-6 Elias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Elias
0
3
Eller
Elias
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
Elias
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Elias
1
3
Eller
Elias
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Elias
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (803)
40.2% (562)
+13.1%
Power Play
55.8% (86)
49.3% (71)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (90)
34.1% (44)
+15.9%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +15.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Elias shoots left. Eller is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (610).
Eller shoots left. Elias is 42.7% vs left-shot opponents (436).
Home / Away
Eller
Elias
Home
52.8% (525)
39.9% (318)
Away
53.7% (454)
41.5% (359)
By Period
Eller
Elias
P1
53.9%
42.0%
P2
54.8%
38.6%
P3
50.9%
41.1%
OT
50.0%
45.2%
Final 5 min
51.2%
40.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
53.2%
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
40.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2013 | 3 | 04:19 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Dec 4, 2013 | 2 | 03:03 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 2, 2013 | 3 | 13:51 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Dec 2, 2013 | 3 | 02:15 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Dec 2, 2013 | 2 | 19:53 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Dec 2, 2013 | 2 | 17:21 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 2, 2013 | 2 | 17:07 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Dec 2, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |