Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Koivu wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Elias shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 54.0% vs Elias 42.7% (+11.6%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 16-7 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Koivu 95.4%
Defensive zone
Koivu 95.5%
Neutral zone
Koivu 95.7%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 95.5%
95.5%
4.5%
Koivu
Elias
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
7
(23 meetings)
16
7
Koivu
Elias
Last 10: Koivu 8-2 Elias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
7
2
Koivu
Elias
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
5
3
Koivu
Elias
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
4
2
Koivu
Elias
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Elias
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (9,465)
42.3% (2,591)
+11.7%
Power Play
58.6% (2,100)
48.4% (405)
+10.2%
Penalty Kill
48.9% (1,688)
36.0% (367)
+12.9%
On penalty kill, Koivu has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Elias shoots left. Koivu is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,701).
Koivu shoots left. Elias is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,229).
Home / Away
Koivu
Elias
Home
55.8% (6,577)
43.2% (1,683)
Away
52.3% (6,719)
41.7% (1,725)
By Period
Koivu
Elias
P1
53.5%
41.1%
P2
54.6%
43.1%
P3
54.0%
43.0%
OT
56.5%
43.2%
Final 5 min
53.4%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.1%
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
42.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2015 | 3 | 14:27 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 10, 2015 | 3 | 02:50 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 10, 2015 | 1 | 18:57 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 3 | 17:43 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 3 | 01:23 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 2 | 19:25 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 2 | 00:07 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 1 | 15:28 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 1 | 12:26 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 20, 2014 | 3 | 13:26 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Mar 20, 2014 | 3 | 01:53 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 20, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 20, 2014 | 2 | 03:07 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 20, 2014 | 2 | 00:48 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Dec 2, 2011 | 3 | 15:51 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Dec 2, 2011 | 1 | 19:37 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 2, 2011 | 1 | 08:50 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 4, 2011 | 3 | 09:19 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Jan 4, 2011 | 3 | 07:50 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |