Scouting Report
Riley Sheahan holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Sheahan on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Elias wins 42.7% vs left-shot opponents — Sheahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Elias 42.0% vs Sheahan 49.2% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Elias 63.3%
Defensive zone
Elias 67.6%
Neutral zone
Elias 63.3%
Result
Patrik Elias favored at 64.4%
64.4%
35.6%
Elias
Sheahan
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Elias
Sheahan
Last 8: Elias 3-5 Sheahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Elias
1
0
Elias
Sheahan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Elias
Sheahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sheahan
1
4
Elias
Sheahan
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Elias
Sheahan
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (562)
47.6% (429)
-7.4%
Power Play
49.3% (71)
59.5% (79)
-10.2%
Penalty Kill
34.1% (44)
0.0% (4)
+34.1%
On penalty kill, Elias has a +34.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sheahan shoots left. Elias is 42.7% vs left-shot opponents (436).
Elias shoots left. Sheahan is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (311).
Home / Away
Elias
Sheahan
Home
39.9% (318)
52.7% (258)
Away
41.5% (359)
45.3% (254)
By Period
Elias
Sheahan
P1
42.0%
48.8%
P2
38.6%
49.7%
P3
41.1%
48.9%
OT
45.2%
44.4%
Final 5 min
40.7%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
40.8%
Sheahan
52.0%▲
49.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Mar 7, 2014 | 2 | 16:35 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Mar 7, 2014 | 2 | 13:47 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Mar 7, 2014 | 2 | 05:50 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Mar 7, 2014 | 1 | 11:08 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Mar 7, 2014 | 1 | 04:07 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Mar 7, 2014 | 1 | 01:25 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Mar 4, 2014 | 1 | 17:56 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |