Scouting Report
Ryan Getzlaf holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Elias on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Elias wins 41.4% vs right-shot opponents — Getzlaf shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Elias 40.5% vs Getzlaf 50.6% (-11.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Getzlaf 87.1%
Defensive zone
Getzlaf 75.8%
Neutral zone
Getzlaf 82.0%
Result
Ryan Getzlaf favored at 84.5%
15.5%
84.5%
Elias
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Elias
Getzlaf
Last 8: Elias 5-3 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Elias
Getzlaf
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Elias
3
1
Elias
Getzlaf
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Elias
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
39.3% (550)
50.6% (1,060)
-11.3%
Power Play
50.0% (60)
48.3% (118)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
27.0% (63)
54.9% (71)
-27.9%
On penalty kill, Getzlaf has a +27.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Elias is 41.4% vs right-shot opponents (222).
Elias shoots left. Getzlaf is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (828).
Home / Away
Elias
Getzlaf
Home
39.1% (335)
51.9% (622)
Away
39.1% (338)
49.3% (627)
By Period
Elias
Getzlaf
P1
39.0%
49.4%
P2
35.4%
53.1%
P3
44.4%
50.5%
OT
25.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
36.5%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
39.1%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2015 | 3 | 09:08 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 29, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 29, 2015 | 2 | 15:17 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Mar 29, 2015 | 2 | 03:10 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Mar 29, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Mar 29, 2015 | 1 | 10:59 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 29, 2015 | 1 | 06:39 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Mar 29, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |