Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Elias on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Elias wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Elias 44.5% vs Couturier 47.3% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Elias leads 10-1 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Couturier 63.6%
Defensive zone
Couturier 81.5%
Neutral zone
Couturier 72.0%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 69.0%
31.0%
69.0%
Elias
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
1
(11 meetings)
10
1
Elias
Couturier
Last 10: Elias 9-1 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Elias
5
0
Elias
Couturier
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Elias
1
0
Elias
Couturier
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Elias
4
1
Elias
Couturier
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Elias
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (954)
47.4% (639)
-2.7%
Power Play
46.9% (196)
54.2% (24)
-7.3%
Penalty Kill
36.1% (180)
44.0% (134)
-7.9%
On penalty kill, Couturier has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Elias is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (882).
Elias shoots left. Couturier is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (523).
Home / Away
Elias
Couturier
Home
46.0% (692)
46.9% (446)
Away
42.2% (677)
47.2% (358)
By Period
Elias
Couturier
P1
40.7%
42.5%
P2
46.8%
47.1%
P3
44.0%
51.6%
OT
53.3%
25.0%
Final 5 min
41.5%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
44.1%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2012 | 3 | 01:10 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 3 | 09:23 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 2 | 08:01 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 2 | 07:45 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 1 | 08:24 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 3 | 01:32 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 2 | 16:36 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 1 | 15:35 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 3 | 13:44 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |