Scouting Report
Shawn Matthias holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthias on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Elias wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Matthias shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Elias 42.7% vs Matthias 46.6% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Elias 53.7%
Defensive zone
Matthias 54.1%
Neutral zone
Matthias 52.8%
Result
Shawn Matthias favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Elias
Matthias
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Elias
Matthias
Last 8: Elias 4-4 Matthias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Elias
1
0
Elias
Matthias
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthias
1
2
Elias
Matthias
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Elias
Matthias
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Elias
Matthias
Edge
Even Strength
42.3% (2,591)
46.4% (1,716)
-4.1%
Power Play
48.4% (405)
56.3% (103)
-7.9%
Penalty Kill
36.0% (367)
41.7% (175)
-5.7%
On power play, Matthias has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Matthias shoots left. Elias is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,229).
Elias shoots left. Matthias is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,275).
Home / Away
Elias
Matthias
Home
43.2% (1,683)
46.9% (933)
Away
41.7% (1,725)
45.9% (1,069)
By Period
Elias
Matthias
P1
41.1%
47.8%
P2
43.1%
49.4%
P3
43.0%
41.6%
OT
43.2%
45.0%
Final 5 min
40.3%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
42.5%
Matthias
40.0%▼
41.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2012 | 3 | 07:31 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Dec 13, 2011 | 3 | 18:00 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Dec 13, 2011 | 2 | 16:30 | Neutral | Shawn Matthias |
| Dec 13, 2011 | 2 | 05:40 | Defensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Nov 21, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Nov 21, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Shawn Matthias |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 2 | 18:12 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 2 | 03:12 | Defensive | Shawn Matthias |