Scouting Report
Steve Ott holds a +13.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Ott on defensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 14 meetings). Elias wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Ott shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Elias 42.7% vs Ott 55.4% (-13.0%)
H2H factor
Ott leads 15-11 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Elias 76.1%
Defensive zone
Elias 64.5%
Neutral zone
Elias 81.4%
Result
Patrik Elias favored at 71.3%
71.3%
28.7%
Elias
Ott
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
15
(26 meetings)
11
15
Elias
Ott
Last 10: Elias 5-5 Ott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Elias
4
1
Elias
Ott
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ott
5
9
Elias
Ott
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ott
2
5
Elias
Ott
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Elias
Ott
Edge
Even Strength
42.3% (2,591)
57.2% (2,802)
-14.9%
Power Play
48.4% (405)
55.4% (567)
-7.0%
Penalty Kill
36.0% (367)
49.9% (853)
-13.9%
On even strength, Ott has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ott shoots left. Elias is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,229).
Elias shoots left. Ott is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,552).
Home / Away
Elias
Ott
Home
43.2% (1,683)
56.8% (2,130)
Away
41.7% (1,725)
54.2% (2,103)
By Period
Elias
Ott
P1
41.1%
56.7%
P2
43.1%
53.9%
P3
43.0%
55.7%
OT
43.2%
60.8%
Final 5 min
40.3%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
42.5%
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2014 | 3 | 04:23 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 2 | 17:21 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 1 | 09:33 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Nov 30, 2013 | OT | 00:53 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Nov 30, 2013 | 3 | 19:03 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Nov 30, 2013 | 3 | 12:42 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Nov 30, 2013 | 3 | 03:32 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Nov 30, 2013 | 1 | 07:29 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Nov 30, 2013 | 1 | 07:23 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Apr 7, 2013 | OT | 02:40 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Apr 7, 2013 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 3 | 10:33 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 2 | 19:49 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 2 | 18:22 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 1 | 18:15 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Mar 2, 2013 | 1 | 16:56 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 2 | 18:33 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 2 | 15:11 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 2 | 09:24 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 1 | 19:41 | Defensive | Steve Ott |