Scouting Report
Steve Ott holds a +12.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Ott on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Elias wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Ott shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Elias 46.0% vs Ott 54.8% (-12.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Elias 90.4%
Defensive zone
Elias 77.8%
Neutral zone
Elias 80.4%
Result
Patrik Elias favored at 80.7%
80.7%
19.3%
Elias
Ott
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Elias
Ott
Last 7: Elias 1-6 Ott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Elias
1
0
Elias
Ott
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ott
0
3
Elias
Ott
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ott
0
3
Elias
Ott
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Elias
Ott
Edge
Even Strength
40.0% (100)
54.8% (305)
-14.8%
Power Play
53.1% (49)
56.8% (95)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (14)
57.0% (135)
-21.3%
On penalty kill, Ott has a +21.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ott shoots left. Elias is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (106).
Elias shoots left. Ott is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (280).
Home / Away
Elias
Ott
Home
46.2% (78)
58.7% (271)
Away
41.2% (85)
52.7% (264)
By Period
Elias
Ott
P1
44.0%
60.4%
P2
50.0%
54.0%
P3
36.4%
52.6%
OT
28.6%
65.0%
Final 5 min
36.6%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
43.6%
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2013 | OT | 02:40 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Apr 7, 2013 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 3 | 10:33 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 2 | 19:49 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 2 | 18:22 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 1 | 18:15 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Mar 2, 2013 | 1 | 16:56 | Neutral | Steve Ott |