Scouting Report
Tom Pyatt holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Elias on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Elias wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Pyatt shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Elias 44.5% vs Pyatt 46.7% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Elias 62.7%
Defensive zone
Pyatt 62.1%
Neutral zone
Pyatt 60.5%
Result
Patrik Elias favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Elias
Pyatt
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Elias
Pyatt
Last 5: Elias 3-2 Pyatt
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Elias
3
0
Elias
Pyatt
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pyatt
0
1
Elias
Pyatt
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pyatt
0
1
Elias
Pyatt
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Elias
Pyatt
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (954)
46.8% (231)
-2.1%
Power Play
46.9% (196)
41.7% (12)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
36.1% (180)
35.3% (34)
+0.8%
On power play, Elias has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pyatt shoots left. Elias is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (882).
Elias shoots left. Pyatt is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (181).
Home / Away
Elias
Pyatt
Home
46.0% (692)
44.0% (175)
Away
42.2% (677)
48.1% (106)
By Period
Elias
Pyatt
P1
40.7%
41.4%
P2
46.8%
47.1%
P3
44.0%
48.0%
OT
53.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
41.5%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
44.1%
Pyatt
34.0%▼
36.5%
45.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2012 | 3 | 11:19 | Defensive | Tom Pyatt |
| Mar 29, 2012 | 2 | 14:31 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Feb 26, 2012 | 3 | 08:45 | Neutral | Tom Pyatt |
| Feb 26, 2012 | 2 | 05:03 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Dec 12, 2011 | 3 | 06:08 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |