Scouting Report
Tomas Plekanec holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Plekanec on defensive-zone draws (62% H2H, 26 meetings). Elias wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Plekanec shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Elias 42.7% vs Plekanec 50.1% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Plekanec leads 39-26 in 65 meetings
Offensive zone
Elias 78.7%
Defensive zone
Elias 89.3%
Neutral zone
Elias 82.7%
Result
Patrik Elias favored at 84.4%
84.4%
15.6%
Elias
Plekanec
Head-to-Head Record
26
-
39
(65 meetings)
26
39
Elias
Plekanec
Last 10: Elias 7-3 Plekanec
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Plekanec
6
9
Elias
Plekanec
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Plekanec
10
16
Elias
Plekanec
26 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Plekanec
10
14
Elias
Plekanec
24 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Elias
Plekanec
Edge
Even Strength
42.3% (2,591)
50.8% (8,558)
-8.5%
Power Play
48.4% (405)
51.3% (1,151)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
36.0% (367)
46.0% (1,924)
-10.0%
On penalty kill, Plekanec has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Plekanec shoots left. Elias is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,229).
Elias shoots left. Plekanec is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,049).
Home / Away
Elias
Plekanec
Home
43.2% (1,683)
51.1% (5,909)
Away
41.7% (1,725)
49.1% (5,818)
By Period
Elias
Plekanec
P1
41.1%
52.5%
P2
43.1%
48.9%
P3
43.0%
49.0%
OT
43.2%
51.1%
Final 5 min
40.3%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
42.5%
Plekanec
56.0%▬
56.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2015 | 3 | 15:38 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Apr 3, 2015 | 3 | 14:38 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Apr 3, 2015 | 3 | 07:21 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Apr 3, 2015 | 3 | 05:04 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Apr 3, 2015 | 3 | 04:58 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Apr 3, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Apr 3, 2015 | 2 | 07:51 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Apr 3, 2015 | 2 | 07:42 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Apr 3, 2015 | 2 | 01:06 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Apr 3, 2015 | 1 | 14:39 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Apr 3, 2015 | 1 | 06:34 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Apr 3, 2015 | 1 | 00:47 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Apr 3, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Feb 7, 2015 | 3 | 04:43 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 3 | 15:44 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 2 | 19:23 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 1 | 13:56 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Dec 4, 2013 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Dec 4, 2013 | 3 | 08:48 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Dec 4, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |