Scouting Report
Tomas Plekanec holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Plekanec on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Elias wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Plekanec shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Elias 46.0% vs Plekanec 50.5% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Elias 75.1%
Defensive zone
Elias 68.9%
Neutral zone
Elias 69.5%
Result
Patrik Elias favored at 70.6%
70.6%
29.4%
Elias
Plekanec
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Elias
Plekanec
Last 8: Elias 2-6 Plekanec
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Elias
Plekanec
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Plekanec
1
4
Elias
Plekanec
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Plekanec
0
1
Elias
Plekanec
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Elias
Plekanec
Edge
Even Strength
40.0% (100)
51.5% (701)
-11.5%
Power Play
53.1% (49)
47.1% (121)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (14)
48.6% (138)
-12.9%
On penalty kill, Plekanec has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Plekanec shoots left. Elias is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (106).
Elias shoots left. Plekanec is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (531).
Home / Away
Elias
Plekanec
Home
46.2% (78)
51.4% (473)
Away
41.2% (85)
49.8% (488)
By Period
Elias
Plekanec
P1
44.0%
50.7%
P2
50.0%
50.7%
P3
36.4%
49.8%
OT
28.6%
57.9%
Final 5 min
36.6%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
43.6%
Plekanec
56.0%▬
56.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 2 | 18:32 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 2 | 18:22 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 2 | 04:34 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Jan 27, 2013 | 3 | 19:21 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Jan 27, 2013 | 2 | 19:32 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Jan 27, 2013 | 2 | 00:48 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Jan 27, 2013 | 1 | 17:35 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |