Scouting Report
Trevor Smith holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Elias on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Elias wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Elias 42.7% vs Smith 48.7% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smith 59.4%
Defensive zone
Smith 82.4%
Neutral zone
Smith 72.6%
Result
Trevor Smith favored at 73.4%
26.6%
73.4%
Elias
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Elias
Smith
Last 8: Elias 5-3 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Elias
1
0
Elias
Smith
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Elias
Smith
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Elias
3
2
Elias
Smith
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Elias
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
42.3% (2,591)
49.0% (769)
-6.7%
Power Play
48.4% (405)
63.6% (22)
-15.2%
Penalty Kill
36.0% (367)
42.4% (118)
-6.4%
On power play, Smith has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Elias is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,229).
Elias shoots left. Smith is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (540).
Home / Away
Elias
Smith
Home
43.2% (1,683)
52.4% (490)
Away
41.7% (1,725)
44.0% (420)
By Period
Elias
Smith
P1
41.1%
46.9%
P2
43.1%
51.2%
P3
43.0%
47.7%
OT
43.2%
0.0%
Final 5 min
40.3%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
42.5%
Smith
46.0%▼
52.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2015 | 1 | 18:34 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Mar 29, 2012 | 3 | 19:51 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Mar 29, 2012 | 3 | 19:38 | Defensive | Trevor Smith |
| Mar 29, 2012 | 2 | 01:13 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Feb 26, 2012 | 1 | 10:40 | Neutral | Trevor Smith |
| Feb 26, 2012 | 1 | 10:32 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Feb 26, 2012 | 1 | 04:22 | Neutral | Trevor Smith |
| Feb 26, 2012 | 1 | 01:27 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |