Scouting Report
Patrik Elias holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Elias on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Elias wins 42.7% vs left-shot opponents — Ennis shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Elias 42.0% vs Ennis 40.3% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Elias 51.0%
Defensive zone
Ennis 51.3%
Neutral zone
Ennis 50.9%
Result
Tyler Ennis favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Elias
Ennis
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Elias
Ennis
Last 5: Elias 4-1 Ennis
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Elias
2
0
Elias
Ennis
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Elias
2
1
Elias
Ennis
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Elias
Ennis
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (562)
38.3% (553)
+1.9%
Power Play
49.3% (71)
40.9% (66)
+8.4%
Penalty Kill
34.1% (44)
50.0% (6)
-15.9%
On penalty kill, Ennis has a +15.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ennis shoots left. Elias is 42.7% vs left-shot opponents (436).
Elias shoots left. Ennis is 39.3% vs left-shot opponents (361).
Home / Away
Elias
Ennis
Home
39.9% (318)
39.5% (306)
Away
41.5% (359)
37.9% (319)
By Period
Elias
Ennis
P1
42.0%
35.9%
P2
38.6%
43.6%
P3
41.1%
37.4%
OT
45.2%
31.6%
Final 5 min
40.7%
38.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
40.8%
Ennis
60.0%▲
43.5%
38.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2014 | 3 | 08:06 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Apr 1, 2014 | 1 | 05:30 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Apr 1, 2014 | 1 | 05:22 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Nov 30, 2013 | 3 | 18:41 | Neutral | Tyler Ennis |
| Nov 30, 2013 | 3 | 14:17 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |