Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +17.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Byron wins 39.7% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Byron 40.6% vs Kesler 55.9% (-17.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Byron 66.4%
Defensive zone
Kesler 50.4%
Neutral zone
Byron 64.5%
Result
Paul Byron favored at 63.8%
63.8%
36.2%
Byron
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Byron
Kesler
Last 8: Byron 3-5 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
2
3
Byron
Kesler
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Byron
1
0
Byron
Kesler
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
2
Byron
Kesler
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Byron
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
40.6% (399)
56.4% (8,095)
-15.8%
Power Play
55.0% (20)
60.7% (1,437)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
26.2% (84)
50.5% (1,908)
-24.3%
On penalty kill, Kesler has a +24.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Byron is 39.7% vs right-shot opponents (204).
Byron shoots left. Kesler is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (7,986).
Home / Away
Byron
Kesler
Home
41.7% (235)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
36.2% (268)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Byron
Kesler
P1
31.9%
56.5%
P2
46.5%
55.9%
P3
35.3%
56.1%
OT
80.0%
46.0%
Final 5 min
37.6%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Byron
54.0%▲
41.0%
38.8%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2018 | 3 | 13:46 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 3 | 06:30 | Offensive | Paul Byron |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 3 | 03:18 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 2 | 12:53 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 2 | 09:57 | Offensive | Paul Byron |
| Nov 25, 2014 | 2 | 11:52 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 23, 2011 | 1 | 13:26 | Defensive | Paul Byron |