Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +16.3% FO% edge overall. Byron wins 36.7% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Byron 43.3% vs Kesler 52.9% (-16.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Byron 64.1%
Defensive zone
Kesler 51.0%
Neutral zone
Byron 56.2%
Result
Paul Byron favored at 61.5%
61.5%
38.5%
Byron
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Byron
Kesler
Last 6: Byron 2-4 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Byron
Kesler
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
2
Byron
Kesler
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Byron
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
41.2% (85)
55.2% (567)
-14.0%
Penalty Kill
21.7% (23)
45.0% (131)
-23.3%
On penalty kill, Kesler has a +23.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Byron is 36.7% vs right-shot opponents (49).
Byron shoots left. Kesler is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (516).
Home / Away
Byron
Kesler
Home
37.7% (61)
55.7% (388)
Away
36.2% (47)
50.8% (362)
By Period
Byron
Kesler
P1
35.1%
56.3%
P2
36.8%
52.5%
P3
35.5%
52.6%
OT
100.0%
35.3%
Final 5 min
34.6%
60.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Byron
54.0%▲
41.0%
37.0%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
53.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2018 | 3 | 13:46 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 3 | 06:30 | Offensive | Paul Byron |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 3 | 03:18 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 2 | 12:53 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 2 | 09:57 | Offensive | Paul Byron |