Scouting Report
Paul Cotter holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 51.5% vs Cotter 51.1% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 71.5%
Defensive zone
Suzuki 60.3%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 57.2%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 59.1%
59.1%
40.9%
Suzuki
Cotter
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Suzuki
Cotter
Last 5: Suzuki 4-1 Cotter
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
2
1
Suzuki
Cotter
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
2
0
Suzuki
Cotter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Cotter
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (981)
51.4% (70)
+1.0%
Power Play
50.7% (304)
62.5% (8)
-11.8%
On power play, Cotter has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cotter shoots left. Suzuki is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (976).
Suzuki shoots right. Cotter is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (36).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Cotter
Home
53.2% (645)
63.9% (36)
Away
50.1% (673)
42.9% (42)
By Period
Suzuki
Cotter
P1
48.9%
57.7%
P2
51.5%
45.5%
P3
54.9%
53.3%
Final 5 min
51.4%
65.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
51.6%
Cotter
56.0%▲
53.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 13:03 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 12:56 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 03:26 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 03:24 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 11:49 | Defensive | Paul Cotter |