Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +14.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (93% H2H, 14 meetings). Shaw wins 42.6% vs left-shot opponents — Gaustad shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 44.1% vs Gaustad 57.4% (-14.7%)
H2H factor
Gaustad leads 18-2 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Shaw 95.4%
Defensive zone
Shaw 73.8%
Neutral zone
Shaw 90.8%
Result
Andrew Shaw favored at 79.2%
79.2%
20.8%
Shaw
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
18
(20 meetings)
2
18
Shaw
Gaustad
Last 10: Shaw 2-8 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
1
Shaw
Gaustad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
1
13
Shaw
Gaustad
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
1
4
Shaw
Gaustad
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (636)
59.3% (913)
-15.4%
Power Play
32.4% (37)
72.2% (18)
-39.8%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (11)
52.8% (269)
-7.3%
On power play, Gaustad has a +39.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Shaw is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (469).
Shaw shoots right. Gaustad is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (420).
Home / Away
Shaw
Gaustad
Home
46.3% (363)
58.6% (604)
Away
39.9% (321)
57.4% (596)
By Period
Shaw
Gaustad
P1
47.4%
61.5%
P2
43.0%
55.7%
P3
40.0%
56.6%
OT
46.2%
75.0%
Final 5 min
39.8%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
43.3%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2014 | 3 | 19:39 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Apr 12, 2014 | 3 | 19:01 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Apr 12, 2014 | 3 | 18:19 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Apr 12, 2014 | 3 | 18:15 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Apr 12, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Apr 12, 2014 | 2 | 14:36 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Apr 12, 2014 | 2 | 03:12 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Apr 12, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Apr 12, 2014 | 1 | 18:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Apr 12, 2014 | 1 | 14:38 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 14, 2014 | 3 | 14:38 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 14, 2014 | 2 | 14:33 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 14, 2014 | 2 | 14:26 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 14, 2014 | 2 | 11:24 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 14, 2014 | 1 | 16:31 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 3 | 19:07 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 3 | 17:23 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 3 | 14:07 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 3 | 09:17 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 2 | 05:45 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |