Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (93% H2H, 14 meetings). Vermette wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Gaustad shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vermette 56.0% vs Gaustad 57.4% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Gaustad leads 18-7 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Vermette 76.2%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 71.0%
Neutral zone
Gaustad 58.3%
Result
Paul Gaustad favored at 58.5%
41.5%
58.5%
Vermette
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
18
(25 meetings)
7
18
Vermette
Gaustad
Last 10: Vermette 3-7 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Vermette
5
0
Vermette
Gaustad
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
1
13
Vermette
Gaustad
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
1
5
Vermette
Gaustad
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vermette
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
56.7% (1,246)
59.3% (913)
-2.6%
Power Play
55.9% (261)
72.2% (18)
-16.3%
Penalty Kill
55.4% (276)
52.8% (269)
+2.6%
On power play, Gaustad has a +16.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Vermette is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,100).
Vermette shoots left. Gaustad is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Home / Away
Vermette
Gaustad
Home
56.8% (842)
58.6% (604)
Away
56.0% (941)
57.4% (596)
By Period
Vermette
Gaustad
P1
58.0%
61.5%
P2
57.9%
55.7%
P3
53.5%
56.6%
OT
58.7%
75.0%
Final 5 min
53.6%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vermette
58.0%▼
62.0%
56.4%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2014 | 3 | 19:01 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Apr 10, 2014 | 3 | 15:37 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Apr 10, 2014 | 3 | 15:20 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Apr 10, 2014 | 3 | 12:36 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Apr 10, 2014 | 3 | 12:29 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Apr 10, 2014 | 3 | 10:21 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Apr 10, 2014 | 3 | 02:06 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Apr 10, 2014 | 2 | 18:51 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Apr 10, 2014 | 2 | 17:28 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Apr 10, 2014 | 2 | 10:26 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Apr 10, 2014 | 2 | 00:15 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Apr 10, 2014 | 1 | 17:24 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Apr 10, 2014 | 1 | 17:15 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Apr 10, 2014 | 1 | 08:04 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 25, 2013 | 3 | 18:54 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 25, 2013 | 3 | 17:37 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 25, 2013 | 3 | 13:39 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 25, 2013 | 3 | 08:54 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 25, 2013 | 1 | 13:08 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 25, 2013 | 1 | 10:33 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |