Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Dubinsky on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Dubinsky wins 57.8% vs left-shot opponents — Gaustad shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dubinsky 56.8% vs Gaustad 57.9% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dubinsky 81.1%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 78.0%
Neutral zone
Dubinsky 53.2%
Result
Paul Gaustad favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Dubinsky
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Dubinsky
Gaustad
Last 7: Dubinsky 5-2 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dubinsky
3
0
Dubinsky
Gaustad
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Dubinsky
Gaustad
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dubinsky
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
58.1% (310)
59.8% (353)
-1.7%
Power Play
63.6% (77)
66.7% (15)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (52)
58.0% (81)
-6.1%
On penalty kill, Gaustad has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Dubinsky is 57.8% vs left-shot opponents (313).
Dubinsky shoots left. Gaustad is 61.2% vs left-shot opponents (309).
Home / Away
Dubinsky
Gaustad
Home
56.9% (209)
62.1% (195)
Away
59.6% (230)
57.9% (254)
By Period
Dubinsky
Gaustad
P1
62.2%
59.4%
P2
58.9%
58.1%
P3
53.5%
61.3%
OT
77.8%
66.7%
Final 5 min
56.1%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dubinsky
66.0%▲
59.0%
58.3%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
59.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2013 | 3 | 16:09 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Apr 4, 2013 | 3 | 13:54 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Apr 4, 2013 | 2 | 08:21 | Offensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Apr 4, 2013 | 2 | 07:02 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Apr 4, 2013 | 2 | 06:53 | Offensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Jan 19, 2013 | OT | 04:44 | Offensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 1 | 10:29 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |