Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Giroux wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Gaustad shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 53.4% vs Gaustad 56.7% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Giroux 79.5%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 78.5%
Neutral zone
Gaustad 54.2%
Result
Paul Gaustad favored at 57.5%
42.5%
57.5%
Giroux
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Giroux
Gaustad
Last 9: Giroux 3-6 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Giroux
Gaustad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
4
Giroux
Gaustad
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Giroux
2
1
Giroux
Gaustad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (992)
57.8% (854)
-7.0%
Power Play
63.5% (329)
56.0% (25)
+7.5%
Penalty Kill
53.9% (191)
55.1% (263)
-1.2%
On power play, Giroux has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Giroux is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,115).
Giroux shoots right. Gaustad is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (416).
Home / Away
Giroux
Gaustad
Home
57.4% (812)
61.3% (633)
Away
49.5% (731)
52.4% (517)
By Period
Giroux
Gaustad
P1
51.9%
57.9%
P2
52.3%
55.3%
P3
56.6%
58.3%
OT
51.7%
64.3%
Final 5 min
55.0%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
53.7%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2012 | 2 | 04:02 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 16, 2012 | 2 | 03:22 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 16, 2012 | 1 | 19:46 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 16, 2012 | 1 | 17:50 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 2, 2011 | 3 | 13:40 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 2, 2011 | 3 | 02:53 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 2, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 2, 2011 | 2 | 00:58 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 2, 2011 | 1 | 15:02 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |