Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.9% vs 57.7%). Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (85% H2H, 27 meetings). Giroux wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Gaustad shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 56.8% vs Gaustad 57.6% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Gaustad leads 34-23 in 57 meetings
Offensive zone
Giroux 79.0%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 88.7%
Neutral zone
Gaustad 63.2%
Result
Paul Gaustad favored at 61.9%
38.1%
61.9%
Giroux
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
23
-
34
(57 meetings)
23
34
Giroux
Gaustad
Last 10: Giroux 7-3 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
15
3
Giroux
Gaustad
18 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
4
23
Giroux
Gaustad
27 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
4
8
Giroux
Gaustad
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (13,861)
58.2% (4,334)
-2.4%
Power Play
60.5% (4,075)
65.4% (188)
-4.9%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (2,518)
54.8% (1,290)
+2.6%
On power play, Gaustad has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Giroux is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (14,370).
Giroux shoots right. Gaustad is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,052).
Home / Away
Giroux
Gaustad
Home
59.2% (10,252)
59.5% (2,929)
Away
54.5% (10,242)
55.9% (2,897)
By Period
Giroux
Gaustad
P1
57.5%
58.2%
P2
56.2%
56.4%
P3
57.3%
58.3%
OT
51.4%
66.0%
Final 5 min
58.5%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
56.9%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2016 | 3 | 11:18 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 21, 2015 | OT | 04:28 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 21, 2015 | OT | 04:24 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 3 | 18:58 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 3 | 10:41 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 2 | 17:10 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 1 | 19:55 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 3 | 17:50 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 3 | 17:36 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 3 | 16:02 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 3 | 14:46 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 3 | 11:02 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 3 | 06:47 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 3 | 06:33 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 2 | 14:35 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 2 | 09:15 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 1 | 18:58 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |