Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Bolland on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bolland 48.5% vs Gaustad 56.7% (-8.9%)
H2H factor
Bolland leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Gaustad 73.5%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 90.5%
Neutral zone
Gaustad 86.7%
Result
Paul Gaustad favored at 82.0%
18.0%
82.0%
Bolland
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
4
(13 meetings)
9
4
Bolland
Gaustad
Last 10: Bolland 6-4 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bolland
5
1
Bolland
Gaustad
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
2
3
Bolland
Gaustad
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bolland
2
0
Bolland
Gaustad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bolland
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (913)
57.8% (854)
-8.3%
Power Play
48.3% (87)
56.0% (25)
-7.7%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (195)
55.1% (263)
-11.0%
On penalty kill, Gaustad has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Bolland is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (861).
Bolland shoots right. Gaustad is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (416).
Home / Away
Bolland
Gaustad
Home
50.8% (622)
61.3% (633)
Away
45.8% (581)
52.4% (517)
By Period
Bolland
Gaustad
P1
47.1%
57.9%
P2
47.8%
55.3%
P3
50.9%
58.3%
OT
39.1%
64.3%
Final 5 min
49.8%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bolland
42.0%▼
44.5%
48.4%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2012 | 3 | 19:26 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 3 | 03:48 | Offensive | Dave Bolland |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 2 | 16:46 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 1 | 01:24 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 3 | 08:25 | Offensive | Dave Bolland |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 3 | 02:00 | Neutral | Dave Bolland |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 2 | 18:59 | Offensive | Dave Bolland |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 1 | 13:28 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 18, 2012 | 2 | 05:47 | Defensive | Dave Bolland |
| Jan 18, 2012 | 2 | 05:36 | Neutral | Dave Bolland |
| Jan 18, 2012 | 1 | 18:39 | Defensive | Dave Bolland |
| Jan 18, 2012 | 1 | 10:54 | Offensive | Dave Bolland |
| Jan 18, 2012 | 1 | 01:21 | Offensive | Dave Bolland |