Scouting Report
David Steckel holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Steckel wins 61.1% vs left-shot opponents — Gaustad shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Steckel 61.0% vs Gaustad 59.0% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaustad 66.0%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 59.2%
Neutral zone
Gaustad 67.0%
Result
Paul Gaustad favored at 62.3%
37.7%
62.3%
Steckel
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Steckel
Gaustad
Last 9: Steckel 3-6 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
3
Steckel
Gaustad
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steckel
3
2
Steckel
Gaustad
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
1
Steckel
Gaustad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Steckel
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
61.8% (595)
58.6% (790)
+3.2%
Power Play
65.2% (23)
66.7% (93)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
62.0% (187)
61.0% (269)
+1.0%
On even strength, Steckel has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Steckel is 61.1% vs left-shot opponents (517).
Steckel shoots left. Gaustad is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (767).
Home / Away
Steckel
Gaustad
Home
67.7% (424)
60.6% (554)
Away
56.6% (396)
58.9% (604)
By Period
Steckel
Gaustad
P1
60.4%
61.3%
P2
64.9%
55.5%
P3
61.2%
62.3%
OT
77.8%
75.0%
Final 5 min
64.6%
58.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Steckel
66.0%▲
60.5%
62.3%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
59.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 20, 2011 | 3 | 19:56 | Defensive | David Steckel |
| Feb 20, 2011 | 3 | 19:45 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 17, 2010 | 2 | 08:20 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 17, 2010 | 2 | 04:55 | Defensive | David Steckel |
| Nov 17, 2010 | 2 | 02:28 | Defensive | David Steckel |
| Nov 17, 2010 | 2 | 02:17 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 17, 2010 | 1 | 19:12 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 13, 2010 | 2 | 14:15 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |