Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +15.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Jeffrey wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Gaustad shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jeffrey 45.8% vs Gaustad 59.0% (-15.7%)
H2H factor
Gaustad leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Jeffrey 78.0%
Defensive zone
Jeffrey 63.6%
Neutral zone
Jeffrey 77.7%
Result
Dustin Jeffrey favored at 70.7%
70.7%
29.3%
Jeffrey
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
9
(12 meetings)
3
9
Jeffrey
Gaustad
Last 10: Jeffrey 3-7 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jeffrey
2
1
Jeffrey
Gaustad
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
1
5
Jeffrey
Gaustad
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
3
Jeffrey
Gaustad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jeffrey
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (207)
58.6% (790)
-12.7%
Power Play
26.9% (26)
66.7% (93)
-39.8%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
61.0% (269)
-18.1%
On power play, Gaustad has a +39.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Jeffrey is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (181).
Jeffrey shoots left. Gaustad is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (767).
Home / Away
Jeffrey
Gaustad
Home
45.7% (116)
60.6% (554)
Away
42.7% (131)
58.9% (604)
By Period
Jeffrey
Gaustad
P1
42.5%
61.3%
P2
48.4%
55.5%
P3
39.7%
62.3%
OT
66.7%
75.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
58.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jeffrey
60.0%▲
54.5%
44.1%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
59.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2011 | 3 | 05:10 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 8, 2011 | 2 | 00:25 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 8, 2011 | 1 | 19:58 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 8, 2011 | 1 | 12:23 | Defensive | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Feb 4, 2011 | 3 | 11:06 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 4, 2011 | 2 | 17:20 | Offensive | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Feb 4, 2011 | 2 | 10:32 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 4, 2011 | 2 | 10:19 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 4, 2011 | 2 | 04:25 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 4, 2011 | 2 | 04:10 | Offensive | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Feb 4, 2011 | 1 | 09:13 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 4, 2011 | 1 | 02:59 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |