Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Christensen 49.5% vs Gaustad 59.0% (-10.3%)
H2H factor
Gaustad leads 10-0 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Christensen 89.4%
Defensive zone
Christensen 65.2%
Neutral zone
Christensen 76.2%
Result
Erik Christensen favored at 74.2%
74.2%
25.8%
Christensen
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
10
(10 meetings)
0
10
Christensen
Gaustad
Last 10: Christensen 0-10 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
1
Christensen
Gaustad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
3
Christensen
Gaustad
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
6
Christensen
Gaustad
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Christensen
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (544)
58.6% (790)
-10.1%
Power Play
55.2% (87)
66.7% (93)
-11.5%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
61.0% (269)
-27.7%
On penalty kill, Gaustad has a +27.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Christensen is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (410).
Christensen shoots left. Gaustad is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (767).
Home / Away
Christensen
Gaustad
Home
53.1% (305)
60.6% (554)
Away
46.1% (334)
58.9% (604)
By Period
Christensen
Gaustad
P1
49.0%
61.3%
P2
51.1%
55.5%
P3
48.1%
62.3%
OT
50.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
43.7%
58.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Christensen
48.0%▼
51.5%
49.5%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
59.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2011 | 3 | 13:59 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 1, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 1, 2011 | 2 | 16:09 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 1, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 1, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 11, 2010 | 3 | 04:15 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 11, 2010 | 2 | 19:57 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 11, 2010 | 1 | 09:29 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 9, 2010 | 3 | 12:16 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 9, 2010 | 1 | 10:53 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |