Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Christensen wins 56.7% vs left-shot opponents — Gaustad shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Christensen 52.0% vs Gaustad 56.7% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Christensen 80.7%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 72.0%
Neutral zone
Christensen 53.2%
Result
Paul Gaustad favored at 56.4%
43.6%
56.4%
Christensen
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Christensen
Gaustad
Last 5: Christensen 2-3 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Christensen
1
0
Christensen
Gaustad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
3
Christensen
Gaustad
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Christensen
1
0
Christensen
Gaustad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Christensen
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (255)
57.8% (854)
-7.2%
Power Play
57.5% (40)
56.0% (25)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (3)
55.1% (263)
+44.9%
On penalty kill, Christensen has a +44.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Christensen is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (187).
Christensen shoots left. Gaustad is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (734).
Home / Away
Christensen
Gaustad
Home
57.8% (173)
61.3% (633)
Away
45.7% (129)
52.4% (517)
By Period
Christensen
Gaustad
P1
49.6%
57.9%
P2
54.2%
55.3%
P3
53.7%
58.3%
OT
75.0%
64.3%
Final 5 min
52.5%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Christensen
48.0%▼
51.5%
52.6%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2012 | 2 | 18:06 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Apr 3, 2012 | 2 | 09:22 | Neutral | Erik Christensen |
| Apr 3, 2012 | 1 | 16:16 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Apr 3, 2012 | 1 | 08:42 | Offensive | Erik Christensen |
| Apr 3, 2012 | 1 | 01:52 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |