Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +12.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Josefson on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Josefson wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Gaustad shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Josefson 48.0% vs Gaustad 59.0% (-12.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Josefson 51.6%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 85.5%
Neutral zone
Gaustad 66.8%
Result
Paul Gaustad favored at 66.9%
33.1%
66.9%
Josefson
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Josefson
Gaustad
Last 7: Josefson 4-3 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Josefson
Gaustad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
2
Josefson
Gaustad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Josefson
3
0
Josefson
Gaustad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Josefson
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (169)
58.6% (790)
-10.1%
Power Play
34.5% (29)
66.7% (93)
-32.2%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
61.0% (269)
+39.0%
On penalty kill, Josefson has a +39.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Josefson is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (133).
Josefson shoots left. Gaustad is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (767).
Home / Away
Josefson
Gaustad
Home
44.8% (116)
60.6% (554)
Away
50.0% (86)
58.9% (604)
By Period
Josefson
Gaustad
P1
47.1%
61.3%
P2
48.1%
55.5%
P3
45.9%
62.3%
Final 5 min
52.2%
58.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Josefson
42.0%▼
44.0%
47.0%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
59.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2011 | 3 | 19:21 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 2 | 16:27 | Offensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Oct 23, 2010 | 3 | 15:37 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 23, 2010 | 3 | 15:26 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 23, 2010 | 3 | 12:18 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 23, 2010 | 1 | 08:35 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |