Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Josefson 48.8% vs Gaustad 57.6% (-8.9%)
H2H factor
Gaustad leads 15-9 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Josefson 88.6%
Defensive zone
Josefson 74.8%
Neutral zone
Josefson 83.2%
Result
Jacob Josefson favored at 80.8%
80.8%
19.2%
Josefson
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
15
(24 meetings)
9
15
Josefson
Gaustad
Last 10: Josefson 4-6 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Josefson
3
2
Josefson
Gaustad
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
10
Josefson
Gaustad
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Josefson
6
3
Josefson
Gaustad
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Josefson
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (2,339)
58.2% (4,334)
-9.4%
Power Play
51.9% (185)
65.4% (188)
-13.5%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (312)
54.8% (1,290)
-9.0%
On power play, Gaustad has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Josefson is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,888).
Josefson shoots left. Gaustad is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,774).
Home / Away
Josefson
Gaustad
Home
50.5% (1,517)
59.5% (2,929)
Away
46.8% (1,329)
55.9% (2,897)
By Period
Josefson
Gaustad
P1
46.4%
58.2%
P2
50.1%
56.4%
P3
49.8%
58.3%
OT
37.5%
66.0%
Final 5 min
51.3%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Josefson
42.0%▼
44.0%
48.8%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2015 | 3 | 19:57 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 3 | 19:08 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 3 | 17:21 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 3 | 17:02 | Offensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 3 | 13:41 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 2 | 19:53 | Offensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 2 | 18:29 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 1 | 15:51 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 3, 2015 | 1 | 16:13 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 3, 2015 | 1 | 09:55 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 14, 2015 | 3 | 19:48 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 14, 2015 | 3 | 12:51 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 14, 2015 | 1 | 06:07 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 10, 2013 | 3 | 18:01 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Nov 10, 2013 | 1 | 10:34 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 10, 2013 | 1 | 02:09 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 3 | 19:51 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 3 | 19:21 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 2 | 16:27 | Offensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |